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The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.

Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.

In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!1. After-hours news, the first robot dog was delivered in China; 2. Hangzhou issued a three-year action plan: to create a consumption scene covering new productivity such as humanoid robots; 3. Tesla has also made new moves and applied for registration of the trademark of robot action toys.